The second in a series of “Unifying Ireland Tracking Polls” shows that support for a United Ireland, in the aftermath of Brexit, is up by 7% since Oct 2018.
The latest “Unifying Ireland Tracking Poll”, the second of four, reveals that support from a united Ireland vote is up by 7% since the last poll, carried out in October 2018.
Speaking to IrishCentral Senator Mark Daly said “With the British Prime minister saying that a hard border and a hard Brexit could lead to a referendum on a United Ireland 82% of people in the republic are saying that the government should start preparing for a United Ireland.
“The lesson however of Brexit is that you do not hold a referendum and then plan the future. The government do need to start preparing for a border poll because policy neglect seldom goes unpunished.”
At the same time odds at Paddy Powers bookmakers on a united Ireland being a reality by Jan 1, 2024, have dropped from 20/1 in January to 15/2.
The “Unifying Ireland Tracking Poll” was carried out face to face by BrandTactics. They questioned 500 people between the ages of 18 and 65+ in the areas of Munster, Leinster, and Connacht between Jan 30 and 31.
When asked whether Ireland should begin to prepare for unification, of the 500 people surveyed 75.15% answered “Yes”. A huge 80.45% voted that they would be in favor of unification and not one participant elected to vote that they were “undecided”.
Again, the majority of those who took the survey believe that they were will a vote on the unification of Ireland within the next decade – 24.85% believe the vote will happen within 5 years and 35.54% see it become a reality with a decade. Only 13.21% said they believed it would “never” happen.
As the Brexit deadline of March 29 approaches and it appears that a no-deal outcome could be a real possibility the survey participants were asked if the Irish Government should be working with the Ulster Unionist to plan for Ireland’s future. A majority of 65.18% voted “Yes”.
On the topic of establishing an All-Ireland Assembly, to cope with Ireland’s plans for the future and possible unity vote, a huge 70.22% voted in favor.
Given that Brexit could destabilize Ireland’s Good Friday Agreement and the hard-fought-for peace in Northern Ireland the poll asked if a special task force should be put in place to ensure violence in Ireland does not raise its head once more. Just 55.34% said “Yes”, while 13.04% said “No”.
Do you agree with the survey results? Could a united Ireland referendum be a reality within the next 10 years? Let us know your thoughts in the comment section below.
Read more: UK Brexit poll shows Irish are less favorable to British since referendum