Forget about the two favorites for the Kentucky Derby. The draw has made it almost impossible for them.
Lucking at Lucky, (pictured), showed himself to be anything but when he drew the No. 1 post.
Normally that is good news, but in a twenty horse cavalry charge to the first bend, the outside horses all come over and squeeze the rail horses.
That is why Looking at Lucky will have great difficulty living up to his name on Saturday unless he can somehow work out a trip from behind a wall of horses all trying to come in on him.
This is the second time that looking at Lucky has had no luck in the draw. In the Breeder's Cup juvenile he drew the outside post, which was just as impossible to win from.
It is the opposite case for Sidney's Candy. Drawn on the far outside he will have to use all of his speed to get to the turn first, given that many other speed types are right inside him.
Sidney will surely have to burn too much energy just to make that first bend in front, especially as Bob Baffert's second string Conveyance will ensure that he has to run fast.
So if it were me I'd be looking at some of the horses well drawn in the middle of the pack, where they can decide on tactics after the gate opens.
Devil May Care, Mission Impazzable and Paddy O'Prado have good draws and would be my choices right now in a long shot trifecta box.