The Irish Monetary Fund and Ireland’s future
The recent control of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in Ireland is cause for concern.
Ireland is now saddled with an €85 billion ($119 billion) loan -- 2.7 times the total tax take in 2010 -- administered jointly by the EU and the IMF (about €22.5 billion).
Total tax revenue in 2010 estimated by the Irish government was €32 billion.
What are the economic consequences for Ireland in repaying this loan?
Who are the senior bondholders that will be guaranteed repayment with this loan?
And should the ordinary taxpayer have to repay this humongous debt?
Interest on the loan will run at about 3% for 2011.
In 2011 the Irish people via government collection of taxes will pay €2.55 billion in interest alone on this loan. With long-term interest rates predicted to rise, a 25 basis point increase (.25%) in interest rates will add another €212 million to the debt.
At these rates, large chunks of Ireland ’s tax revenue will be absorbed in repaying the interest. The opportunity cost of the loan will necessitate a massive decrease in essential services to ordinary Irish citizens.
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