People and Politics by Patrick Roberts

Romney and Obama will be neck and neck in close White House race

Posted on Wednesday, March 21, 2012 at 12:26 AM

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So it will be Mitt Romney versus Barack Obama in November.

Romney's runaway win in Illinois made it certain that he will be on the starting blocks when the Republican primary concludes.

It will be a fascinating race. Don't believe those who tell you it is Obama's to lose.

Every presidential race starts off 45-45 with ten per cent undecided.

Obama's 'landslide' over John McCain was actually 52 - 48 and that was with a collapsing economy and nutty choice for VP dragging down McCain.

So Obama is no shoo-in.

Sure, he will start favorite but the conventional wisdom this season has been way wrong.

The CV and the experts never saw the rise of Gingrich, then his downfall, or the rise of Santorum or his demise either.

It is a fluid situation.

An Israeli attack on Iran could change the card game awful fast.

If Iran were to block the Straits of Hormuz say and prevent oil tamkers leaving, then an American presidential election could be thrown up in the air.

While the economy is puttering along, it is certainly not in full recovery mode.

Much will depend how Romney repositions himself to the center in the coming months.

He simply has to do that to win over the ten per cent in the middle who will decide this election.

It will be an uphill fight for him, but by no means an impossible one.

Let the games begin.

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BrianO | Apr 09, 2012, 01:57 PM EDT

Nice to see an unbiased journalist opinion of the nutty vp pick of mccain. some would argue that what gave Mccain any hope was picking palin. That aside, what the election will come down to is if the Obama regime's record can be shown through the cover of the media. Gas last day of Bush $1.85 Obama $3.95, unemployment last day of Bush 5%, Obama 9%, 4 years of Obama and Iraq and afganistan wars still active, etc. etc.

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jamieLM | Mar 21, 2012, 09:43 AM EDT

I think Romney will be the Rep. candidate. I don't get too excited over any poll. I'm an Independent, and I have a lot of Ind. and moderate Rep. friends who aren't going to vote for Obama. No one has polled any of us. It's way too early for anyone to be celebrating a "shoo in" victory in Nov. A lot can go wrong from now until Nov. for both Obama and the Rep. candidate.

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kerry214 | Mar 21, 2012, 01:49 AM EDT

Are you serious ? I question some of the facts you publish especially about President Obama. Do you read the poll numbers ? Do you have a fact checker ? Romney cannot get over 40% of his own party to back him. He's lacking in delegate count. Get a grip, and do accurate reporting.

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