Election prediction: Christine O'Donnell will prevent Senate takeover by GOP
By: Patrick Roberts | Published Monday, November 1, 2010, 11:25 AM | Updated Friday, September 9, 2011, 9:53 PM
In wave elections like this one, the party coming on strong will almost always win the close races.
That is why the vast majority of close House and Senate races on Tuesday will eventually go to Republicans.
The fact that many of the seats contested are in states and districts where
Democrats essentially 'rented' traditional Republican seats means that most of those seats will go right back to their natural home.
I estimate Republicans will pick up 50 seats or so in the House when all is said and done, not a very large governing majority there, but enough to make trouble for Obama.
I think most close seats in the senate will go their way to.
That is why I think Republicans will likely pick up nine or ten seats in the senate elections this time but ironically will be denied power in the senate by their very own Tea Party queen.
That would be
Christine O'Donnell in
Delaware who has no hope against Chris Coons.
If Republican voters had chosen the more moderate and widely liked Michael Castle this race would have been a shoo-in and very likely have given the 11th senate seat to Republican allowing them to take charge in both chambers.
The fact that O'Donnell was known to be a complete goofball did not stop Republican primary voters electing her.
This is not someone who destroyed her own candidacy after her election, it was well known beforehand that she was not senate caliber.
That decision will come back to haunt Republicans in what otherwise will be a very good night for them.
I see the House as 228
Republicans 207 Democrats and the senate 51-49 to Democrats or possibly 50 -50 with
Vice President Biden's tie vote the difference.
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Switch to the desktop site to post a comment.warrenpoint00 | Nov 05, 2010, 08:50 PM EDT
Thank god..now let her get on her broom and fly off to her leader Herr Sarah in Alaska and the rest of her nazi comrades in the tea party.
maloney | Nov 04, 2010, 10:01 PM EDT
It took you 4 days to come up with your lame effort, mikeycollins, the chuckling knucklehead. Day late & dollar short. Ya finally stop boo hooing over the loser libs long enough to get your feet wet again. What do I do? Make people like you look foolish.
michealcollins | Nov 04, 2010, 05:02 PM EDT
I chuckle (yet again) at some of these comments. Maloney, is that the best you got? "Go back to school? and "ye of little brain?" What's the matter, too many specific quotes for you to comprehend? Not Glen Beck enough for you? :) I immigrated to this country 23 years ago with $300 in my pocket. I have made something out of my life. Tell me what do you do for a living?
Monsoonman | Nov 03, 2010, 11:33 PM EDT
As I always say Maloney, a .45 is always faster than a 911....We can't afford the 250k unionized cops and firemen around here anymore, especially the 90 lb. affirmative action firemen the departments are forced to hire. So i think many californios will be relying more on their .45's and their garden hoses and volunteer fire departments in the future.
maloney | Nov 03, 2010, 08:59 PM EDT
monsoon...congrats on 3 pro gun Ca. house victories: Tom McClintock-ca 4th, Andy Vidak-ca 12th & Jeff Denham-ca 19th Right makes might & a loaded 45.
Monsoonman | Nov 03, 2010, 12:05 PM EDT
The balance of power is now perfect. obama and his marxist agenda is stopped in its tracks. The responsibility of failure and corruption will rest on the shoulders of obama and the democrat senate as the elections of 2012 come upon us. The American people loudly and strongly rejected marxism.
maloney | Nov 02, 2010, 08:10 PM EDT
dennisq..FYI I'm not a republican either. plastic..in your case, it's not ignorance, Just plain old every day common stupidity.
plasticpaddy | Nov 02, 2010, 07:10 PM EDT
silverfox, you do realise that America spends more per person on healtcare than any European country with a universal healthcare system. Ignorance is bliss I guess for US Europeans.
McNamara31 | Nov 02, 2010, 07:05 PM EDT
michealcollins..Well said. Sending my!!applause!!
cpflann | Nov 02, 2010, 02:20 PM EDT
Now that we are actually voting, I hope things calm down. I'm really sick of all the mailers I've gotten, mainly from the O'Donnell campaign. I got 4 yesterday from Christine, 2 from other R's and 2 from the Dems. I'm really annoyed that the local right to life group gave or sold my address to her campaign. I have received 3 highly inflammatory and personal letters specifically on that issue, implying that a vote for Coons was a mortal sin. According to local press accounts, there has been a heavy turnout here in Delaware, which is usually a positive sign for the D's. This year may be different, but turnout is critical. Christine's supporters will vote; the Dem's have to push the turnout up to keep ahead. Its a beautiful fall day in Wilmington, so get out and vote.
silverfox | Nov 02, 2010, 12:14 PM EDT
Dont understand why Europeans are so taken with Obama-when he is trying to implement in US the very programs (national health is one example) that are driving you Euros into bankruptcy as a county and possible takeover by such as IMF- in addition to destroying the document this country founded on the US Constitution
hancock | Nov 01, 2010, 11:55 PM EDT
Why am I resposible for the Republican party? You clueless idiot.
DennisQ | Nov 01, 2010, 11:10 PM EDT
The reason hancock can't flesh out any Republican ideas is that he's not a Republican. That makes two of us who don't know what exactly the Republicans are promising to do when they take the House on November 2nd.
The Tea Partiers pledge to restore blue to the sky and green to the grass. They will also honor the Constitution. However, they will not lower anyone's taxes without making big enemies for themselves . . . enemies who will ensure their defeat the next time they run for office. Cut Social Security? That won't happen. Take an axe to bloated Pentagon spending? Forget it - that won't happen either.
The reason Republicans are coy about what they'll do is that they won't do anything . . . and they know it. hancock knows it too, and he's not a Republican.
Pittsburghkid | Nov 01, 2010, 10:31 PM EDT
The Tea Party stands for limited government. You won't get limited government out of a RINO (Republican In Name Only). We may loss Delaware, but we've made a good showing for our second time out. Remember when a Tea Party candidate took the Kennedy seat. Also the Byrd seat is in danger of being taken over by the Tea Party.
hancock | Nov 01, 2010, 10:24 PM EDT
i'm not a Republican. Anything else junior?
DennisQ | Nov 01, 2010, 09:07 PM EDT
Support the Constitution! Republicans pledging change can talk in generalities but they can't talk specifics; they don't dare. As soon as they lay out the details, they will encounter fierce resistance.
This is going to be an inconsequential election, even if the Republicans take the House with fifty seats. Their biggest problems is that they don't have ideas. I've repeatedly challenged both maloney and hancock to name one specific thing the Republicans will work to accomplish. They never answer except with the same global generalities that defines Republican so-called "ideas."
maloney | Nov 01, 2010, 08:51 PM EDT
That's PROUD & PATRIOTIC bastard Republicans thank you.
jamthecat | Nov 01, 2010, 08:16 PM EDT
If any of the the idiot contenders offered up the the Tea Party get in, the Democratic leadership has only itself to blame...and I place Obama right at the head of it. Like an abused wife, he did everything he could to facilitate compromise with the GOP, got kicked in the face and went back to them, over and over. And then he allowed himself to be blamed for the chaos they wrought. I'm as liberal as they comes, but the man's a fool and deserves no more than one term in office. And maybe the chaos of tomorrow and the days after, once those maniacs are sworn in, will wake up the Americans who actually care about this country and we'll be able to start correcting our path in 2012. If we don't, America is dead...and it's the bastard Republicans who will have killed her.
hancock | Nov 01, 2010, 08:12 PM EDT
Obama is our president, the biggest joke of all.
GerryMaine | Nov 01, 2010, 06:56 PM EDT
O'Donnell was chosen by a majority of the Republican primary voters in Delaware in September. She had a right to run for the nomination. Republican voters had a right to vote for her. She won. She represents a majority of the Republican voters in Delaware. Simple.
maloney | Nov 01, 2010, 06:50 PM EDT
michealcollins..go back & finish school. Oh ye of little brain.
michealcollins | Nov 01, 2010, 06:26 PM EDT
I chuckle at the thought that this women could become a US Senator, but then again, Sarah Palin was nominated for Vice President. What in the name of God is going on in America? I have lived here 23 years, and I love my adopted country, I became a citizen in 1999 and I teach American history. Could some one with common sense explain to me how we have sunk so low in our search for leadership. If this is the best, parties have to offer the country, I have sold myself short. I may not be the smartest pencil in the box, but Palin, O'Donnell, Miller, and Angle have inspired me. I should run for office. I could do a better job than them. But wait, I cannot, I don't have the financial backing, and I am not prepared to sell my soul to be influenced (bought) by lobbyists (enemies of the Republic). My conscience would not allow it. Thomas Paine once said that "Republicanism" was not only a form of government, but also a moral code of behaviour. No matter how well designed your government is, it will succumb to tyranny without virtuous citizens. A vituous citizen is someone who is industrious and is willing to make sacrifices for the greater good of the country. They cannot afford to be self serving, greed and corrupt, otherwise the Republic will fail. Well folks we are beyond that point, and we as citizens have no one to blame but ourselves. Don't confuse this with the Tea Party People. They talk a good game, but really don't give a damn about the country. They are all for themselves, and there is nothing virtuous about them.
hollabackgurl | Nov 01, 2010, 05:51 PM EDT
Vote GOP tomorrow becuase the rich don't have enough tax breaks or enough freedom to pollute our air and water. The GOP took our record breaking surplus and turned it into a deficit that nearly destoryed us. Let's help them finish the job! Vote for them to destroy medicare, social security, education and civil rights and equal pay for women. Vote for the party that was in power during every major banking crisis since 1800. Maybe they can start another needless trillion dollar war in the Middle East.
Madeleine | Nov 01, 2010, 05:47 PM EDT
I think O'Donne4ll will win, most Republicans, and some Dems too are voting for her just to get a Republican in,and a democrat out. If you have ever heard her speak one on one in a radio show or on TV she doesn't sound as goofy as she does when she is being interviewed on a nation wide channel by some socialist who is trying to make a fool out of her, she is not that sophisticated but she sure beats Nancy Pelosi and Barbara Boxer or that lunatic Janet Napolitano. In this case we will vote for the runt of the litter and pass on the progressives, if thats what they call them now.. it used to be marxists.
newcanaan | Nov 01, 2010, 04:54 PM EDT
pat you changed photo, boss pissed at you ?
maloney | Nov 01, 2010, 03:58 PM EDT
McNabb...your prediction is correct. The America of the constitution, love it or leave it.
Irish1798 | Nov 01, 2010, 03:09 PM EDT
One thing I am not is a brainwashed tea partier who can only insult those of us who think with the same old rhetoric about drinking koolaid. I prefer not to be thrown back into the dark ages by the likes of this crazy fanatic.
hollabackgurl | Nov 01, 2010, 02:55 PM EDT
Keep your dirty gov'mint hands offa our post offices, medicare, social security, education, roads and infrastructure! Health and education and social security are socialism I tell you! We don't want no restrictions on the road to total anarchy!
MikeTexas | Nov 01, 2010, 02:53 PM EDT
As a Conservative, Ms O'donnell gives a bad name to conservatives and the Tea Party, and women. She's an original Anna Nicole...With all due respect Anna.
mhichil | Nov 01, 2010, 02:13 PM EDT
O'Donnell lost the witch vote!
mhichil | Nov 01, 2010, 02:12 PM EDT
forgive my spelling.. I get excited when I perceive intelligent thoughts emerging and I become all thumbs!
mhichil | Nov 01, 2010, 02:09 PM EDT
Boomerbob; you're spot on there! I used to work as a" teacher" in special education and they cranked out poorly skilled individuals with great self esteem by the thousands. Since Reagan stopped institutionalizing the mentally disenfranchised, he created a large voting block that are grateful for their "freedom" and will vote t6he party line without question as they have no reasoning skills. I heard things like " keep your government hands off my medicare" at out local Tea Party... saints preserve us!
McNabb1966 | Nov 01, 2010, 01:48 PM EDT
@Irish1798...Farewell and adieu, Comrade, if you don't like living in the United States. GOP takes the Senate in 2012. Hate on O'Donnell all you want, koolaid drinkers...
Irish1798 | Nov 01, 2010, 01:01 PM EDT
The Tea Party would like to force their own narrow-minded Christianity on us, but I'd rather move than be part of a theocracy, which is where this nation is headed if we don't get rid of nuts like O'Donnell.
mhichil | Nov 01, 2010, 12:27 PM EDT
america has a lot of qualified good people, however the intelligent ones would stay clear of any political exposure due to the nature of the culture that elevates and glorifies the more coarse aspects of human nature.
jdi2269 | Nov 01, 2010, 12:25 PM EDT
YOU HAVE THE WORST WRITERS AROUND. INCOMPETENCE AND BIGOTRY IS ALIVE AND WELL AT IRISH CENTRAL!!!
maloney | Nov 01, 2010, 12:14 PM EDT
Hollowbutt is wrong again as usual. It is sad that both parties can't find candidates to run worth having. It's always the lesser of the evils. Anyone worth having will not run, I think, because of the corruption & risk factor. In both parties I can only think of 4 to 6 worth representing the people with competency, honesty & knowledge. Washington turns a silk purse into a sows ear consistently.
FastEddy | Nov 01, 2010, 12:12 PM EDT
Yeah, sure, right ... LOL
boomerbob | Nov 01, 2010, 11:44 AM EDT
Mike Texas - I don't agree with your politics, but that's OK. What started all this nonsense in the Republican Party McCain's selection of Palin as a running mate simply to garner female votes away from Clinton. If I was a female Republican, I would've been incensed at the obvious effort and the selection of an idiot to garner my vote and would change parties. I don't know what's happened in American politics, but it seems like they've all been selected from the mentally handicapped that Reagan pushed out onto the streets with his cuts in support for state hospitals. I guess blowback doesn't have to be associated with foreign policy :-)
boomerbob | Nov 01, 2010, 11:36 AM EDT
diannerae So true. So true. It would be great if we'd abandon the two-party system here and even install a parliamentary style system. As it is now, we don't have an ice cube's chance in Hades of running our own government. With the two-party system, we always have a choice: ridiculously bad and absurdly terrible.
boomerbob | Nov 01, 2010, 11:30 AM EDT
"but enough to make trouble for Obama" Obama doesn't need Republicans making trouble for him his own party does enough of that. Kind of reminiscent of when Jimmy Carter was Pres. the Dems couldn't stop squabbling amongst themselves to take advantage of the advantage.
vincem13 | Nov 01, 2010, 11:25 AM EDT
Rubbing your hands with glee, Mr. Roberts? I notice that the two photos of Ms. O'Donnell are both very uncomplimentary towards her, while there are a large number of pictures of her which show her to have a very nice smile and an intelligent expression. Clearly, though, that is not the way YOU want her to be seen. Isn't that a bit extreme, sir?
mayoman | Nov 01, 2010, 11:14 AM EDT
I also doubt that Christine O'Donnell will win in Delaware. Yet I wonder what percentage of voters will vote for her. Will she lose decisively, or only marginally?
diannerae | Nov 01, 2010, 10:56 AM EDT
I think everyone should vote non party affiliation but americans seem to keep electing the same idiots over and over.
Searlit | Nov 01, 2010, 10:54 AM EDT
Christine O'Donnell's a little too extreme in her beliefs. The last thing this country needs is extremism.
hollabackgurl | Nov 01, 2010, 10:35 AM EDT
The GOP's script for tomorrow will be that she lost due to sexism rather than the fact that the people of Delaware think she's not Senate material. She didn;t lose due to sexism, she lost becuase she doesn't even know what's in the Unites States Constitution.
MikeTexas | Nov 01, 2010, 10:31 AM EDT
When I first heard about Christine O'Donnell, she impressed me. I am a conservative and a Tea Party supporter. I sincerely believe my stand and I live by it. When I first heard Karl Rove and Charles Krauthammer, (two respected conservives) critizise her, I was appalled! So I did my own researched and found that this woman has no leadership background. No proven record of tough deccission makings. Its all talk, worst there so many lies. She is a self absorbed messed up woman. And if you reserach her sister, Jennie O'Donnell, she is the same!, Jennie's bio reads like a master of all things, from doctor to psychic. I was shocked that most of this data on Christine had already been out since Jan 2010. Her trying to scam the Univ. by not paying them..It was Not her students loans, like she claimed...it was the Univ bill. Her house, she wanted to scam the bank. Owing so many people who she borrowed from her campain. As a consevative we believe and preach personal responsiblity and not living off others or the government or campaign money. When we need money we get a job not run for a office so we can ask people to send us money under the guise of wanting the serve the public. A picture tells a thousand words and this Photo shows her charater Very strongly. If she says other people stole her idenity and posted false crediential about her education, why doesn't she file a police report, this is potiential US Senator, isn't her idenity important. Christine O'Donnell is a true con artist. Anyone who defends this type of behavior or her has Not done their reasearch. She is a deceptive and dishonest woman. I am sorry she has hurt our party, believe me there alot of people in the Tea Party who know who she is, its sad.
johhnyb | Nov 01, 2010, 10:27 AM EDT
Hi wuilso127. Sounds like you hate everybody. Good balanced position that.
wuilso127 | Nov 01, 2010, 10:16 AM EDT
As a one-time resident of the State of Delaware, and as a one-time registered Republican who now lives in the State of South Carolina and now am what I call a 'registered' Independent Progressive, I truly hope that 'Republican' O'Donnell will go down to a crushing defeat in Delaware, just as I hope 'Democrat' Alvin Greene does tomorrow, down here in South Carolina.
killowen | Nov 01, 2010, 10:16 AM EDT
o'donnell abooo hoo hoo
johhnyb | Nov 01, 2010, 10:14 AM EDT
Good to see that Saturday's rally hasn't stopped you calling Christine O'Donnell a 'Goofball'. So much for the civility!
cpflann | Nov 01, 2010, 09:47 AM EDT
As a Delaware voter, I believe that the Delaware Senate election has become a referendum on the tea party tactics of personal attack rather than principles. I live in a very Republican area. Even people who were O'Donnell supporters have taken down the lawn signs. Every day, my mailbox is full of flyers from O'Donnell and her "independent" PAC supporters attacking Coons personally, with photoshopped pictures that are obviously false. I think the Democrats will vote and the Castle Republicans will either vote for Coons or stay home. It is ironic that if Castle had won the primary, the GOP would probably have won the Senate.
Rebelforce | Nov 01, 2010, 09:43 AM EDT
The disgraceful campaign of hate and sexism that Christine O'Donnell has had to endure from the biased lamestream newsmedia has set a new low by mean-spirited, misogynistic liberals who subconsciously hate the idea of women in politics.
jamieLM | Nov 01, 2010, 09:23 AM EDT
Will you be able to find any equally unflattering photos of any Liberals/Democrats that you write about in future columns??? Nothing fair and balanced about running that photo. That photo was so-o-o unnecessary. You could've made your point against her without it.
rcrdskpr@aol.com | Nov 01, 2010, 09:07 AM EDT
IC is doing their damndest to discredit o'donnell and the gop. i guess it was roberts turn to write a hate piece on her and the republicans. why doesnt IC just come out once and for all and endorse the dummocratic party? isnt ireland just a heartbeat away from socialism?
wjb1tex | Nov 01, 2010, 09:03 AM EDT
It is interesting that all the Liberal media spend countless hours, and ink, talking about what a terrible candidate O'Donnell is but never mention the Democrats candidate Greene in South Carolina. How come he is not the one who might cause the Democrats to lose the Senate ? No, I don't think they will, but if all that effort that went in to making sure everyone knows that O'Donnell can't win would have been better spent talking about close races it might have made a difference.
newcanaan | Nov 01, 2010, 07:28 AM EDT
just looking at the photo you used shows how you vote.hope you do not call youself a journalist
Advocate | Nov 01, 2010, 01:39 AM EDT
IF they are in Office, toss them out, (or hang 'em!)