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People and Politics by Patrick Roberts

Election prediction: Christine O'Donnell will prevent Senate takeover by GOP

Posted on Sunday, October 31, 2010 at 09:37 PM

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In wave elections like this one, the party coming on strong will almost always win the close races.

That is why the vast majority of close House and Senate races on Tuesday will eventually go to Republicans.

The fact that many of the seats contested are in states and districts where Democrats essentially 'rented' traditional Republican seats means that most of those seats will go right back to their natural home.

I estimate Republicans will pick up 50 seats or so in the House when all is said and done, not a very large governing majority there, but enough to make trouble for Obama.

I think most close seats in the senate will go their way to.

That is why I think Republicans will likely pick up nine or ten seats in the senate elections this time but ironically will be denied power in the senate by their very own Tea Party queen.

That would be Christine O'Donnell in Delaware who has no hope against Chris Coons.

If Republican voters had chosen the more moderate and widely liked Michael Castle this race would have been a shoo-in and very likely have given the 11th senate seat to Republican allowing them to take charge in both chambers.

The fact that O'Donnell was known to be a complete goofball did not stop Republican primary voters electing her.

This is not someone who destroyed her own candidacy after her election, it was well known beforehand that she was not senate caliber.

That decision will come back to haunt Republicans in what otherwise will be a very good night for them.

I see the House as 228 Republicans 207 Democrats and the senate 51-49 to Democrats or possibly 50 -50 with Vice President Biden's tie vote the difference.

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15 - 58 | See all comments

warrenpoint00 | Nov 05, 2010, 08:50 PM EDT

Thank god..now let her get on her broom and fly off to her leader Herr Sarah in Alaska and the rest of her nazi comrades in the tea party.

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maloney | Nov 04, 2010, 10:01 PM EDT

It took you 4 days to come up with your lame effort, mikeycollins, the chuckling knucklehead. Day late & dollar short. Ya finally stop boo hooing over the loser libs long enough to get your feet wet again. What do I do? Make people like you look foolish.

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michealcollins | Nov 04, 2010, 05:02 PM EDT

I chuckle (yet again) at some of these comments. Maloney, is that the best you got? "Go back to school? and "ye of little brain?" What's the matter, too many specific quotes for you to comprehend? Not Glen Beck enough for you? :) I immigrated to this country 23 years ago with $300 in my pocket. I have made something out of my life. Tell me what do you do for a living?

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Monsoonman | Nov 03, 2010, 11:33 PM EDT

As I always say Maloney, a .45 is always faster than a 911....We can't afford the 250k unionized cops and firemen around here anymore, especially the 90 lb. affirmative action firemen the departments are forced to hire. So i think many californios will be relying more on their .45's and their garden hoses and volunteer fire departments in the future.

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maloney | Nov 03, 2010, 08:59 PM EDT

monsoon...congrats on 3 pro gun Ca. house victories: Tom McClintock-ca 4th, Andy Vidak-ca 12th & Jeff Denham-ca 19th Right makes might & a loaded 45.

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Monsoonman | Nov 03, 2010, 12:05 PM EDT

The balance of power is now perfect. obama and his marxist agenda is stopped in its tracks. The responsibility of failure and corruption will rest on the shoulders of obama and the democrat senate as the elections of 2012 come upon us. The American people loudly and strongly rejected marxism.

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maloney | Nov 02, 2010, 08:10 PM EDT

dennisq..FYI I'm not a republican either. plastic..in your case, it's not ignorance, Just plain old every day common stupidity.

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plasticpaddy | Nov 02, 2010, 07:10 PM EDT

silverfox, you do realise that America spends more per person on healtcare than any European country with a universal healthcare system. Ignorance is bliss I guess for US Europeans.

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McNamara31 | Nov 02, 2010, 07:05 PM EDT

michealcollins..Well said. Sending my!!applause!!

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cpflann | Nov 02, 2010, 02:20 PM EDT

Now that we are actually voting, I hope things calm down. I'm really sick of all the mailers I've gotten, mainly from the O'Donnell campaign. I got 4 yesterday from Christine, 2 from other R's and 2 from the Dems. I'm really annoyed that the local right to life group gave or sold my address to her campaign. I have received 3 highly inflammatory and personal letters specifically on that issue, implying that a vote for Coons was a mortal sin. According to local press accounts, there has been a heavy turnout here in Delaware, which is usually a positive sign for the D's. This year may be different, but turnout is critical. Christine's supporters will vote; the Dem's have to push the turnout up to keep ahead. Its a beautiful fall day in Wilmington, so get out and vote.

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silverfox | Nov 02, 2010, 12:14 PM EDT

Dont understand why Europeans are so taken with Obama-when he is trying to implement in US the very programs (national health is one example) that are driving you Euros into bankruptcy as a county and possible takeover by such as IMF- in addition to destroying the document this country founded on the US Constitution

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hancock | Nov 01, 2010, 11:55 PM EDT

Why am I resposible for the Republican party? You clueless idiot.

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DennisQ | Nov 01, 2010, 11:10 PM EDT

The reason hancock can't flesh out any Republican ideas is that he's not a Republican. That makes two of us who don't know what exactly the Republicans are promising to do when they take the House on November 2nd.

The Tea Partiers pledge to restore blue to the sky and green to the grass. They will also honor the Constitution. However, they will not lower anyone's taxes without making big enemies for themselves . . . enemies who will ensure their defeat the next time they run for office. Cut Social Security? That won't happen. Take an axe to bloated Pentagon spending? Forget it - that won't happen either.

The reason Republicans are coy about what they'll do is that they won't do anything . . . and they know it. hancock knows it too, and he's not a Republican.

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Pittsburghkid | Nov 01, 2010, 10:31 PM EDT

The Tea Party stands for limited government. You won't get limited government out of a RINO (Republican In Name Only). We may loss Delaware, but we've made a good showing for our second time out. Remember when a Tea Party candidate took the Kennedy seat. Also the Byrd seat is in danger of being taken over by the Tea Party.

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hancock | Nov 01, 2010, 10:24 PM EDT

i'm not a Republican. Anything else junior?

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