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Iowa race turning into exciting photo finish

Posted on Monday, January 02, 2012 at 04:22 PM

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Ed will be interviewed by Gavin Grace, who hosts the Today show on radio Clare FM. Time of the interview will be 1:45pm Irish time, 8;45 am est., January 4. Tune in for a conversation about the USA's 1st Presidential primary race.
 
Latest poll numbers in the Iowa GOP Presidential primary race, show three candidates are running neck and neck: Mitt Romney, Ron Paul and Rick Santorum. In fact poll numbers are so close and within the margin of error, it can be called a dead heat at this time. By tomorrow evening results should be in and we'll be able to see who places first.

Although Iowa is a small state, it claims a premium on money and attention from Presidential hopefuls. Its early primary is a week ahead of the next state of New Hampshire and approximately 3 weeks ahead of the following states of South Carolina and Florida. But the winner of Iowa will gather prestige and momentum as he enters the next round of primaries. GOP hopefuls have been spending months here, knocking on doors, talking to residents face to face, as well as spending millions of dollars in advertising.
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But the race has been volatile, with contenders having meteoric rises in popularity, then falling just as quickly. A few weeks ago Newt Gingrich surged to the front of the pack and even declared he would win, but a barrage of unprecedented negative attack ads hacked away at his image and going into tomorrows voting, he seems to be in 4th place.

Mitt Romney has been a consistent campaigner out of the rest of the field, he has never surged in popularity , but always seems to have a mid 20% base of support. Many voters who have been interviewed say the reason they support Romney is because they think he has the best chance to beat Barack Obama in the general election.

Ron Paul seems to have caught fire lately with the independent voters. Since Iowa is an open primary state, independents and even Democrats can vote in this election to determine who the winner is. Ron Pauls unwavering message of strict constitutional principles and a balanced budget seems to be connecting with many. Ron Paul seems to be appealing to younger voters who like his ideas of no foreign entanglements of war and his idea of not burdening them with massive debt. Of course Ron Pauls attractiveness to some voters, is a turn off to others, as many say they don't like his isolationist views when it comes to protecting Americas interests overseas.

Rick Santorums recent surge in popularity seems to be a combination of Newt Gingrich's fall from grace and the fact that Santorum is viewed as the latest"un Romney" candidate. But this is not to take away the hard work and effort that Rick Santorum has brought into Iowa. His dedicated groundwork is the reason many people in Iowa are beginning to notice him and take note of his conservative stands.

But the polls have also brought to the forefront one very important fact: 44% of the voters polled said they have not made up their minds over who they will vote for. This just adds one more wild card to the race tomorrow.

But while the Republican race has been raging, President Obama has set up 8 campaign offices in Iowa, setting the stage for a showdown later in this battleground state. With billions of PAC dollars ready to be spent by Republicans and Democrats, this years Presidential race will probably be one of the hardest fought campaigns in US history.

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8 Comments

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@jcounihan - Two of those 7 candidates are members of the Catholic church and don't confuse legitimate hunters with "gun nuts." Using the term "redneck" is offensive to a lot of people, too, because it's a stereotype. It's still early in the nomination process. You don't approve of any of the candidates? Well, obviously a lot of people don't approve of Obama, either. @Monsoonman, right on about the KKK. Btw: in many areas, Democratic law-enforcement officials were members of the Klan or sympathizers...kind of like the fox in charge of the hen house.
You've got 7 candidates all getting a % of the vote right now. Wait until the field narrows down, then you will see higher % for a particular candidate. Bigotry? gun nuts? rednecks? Where do you see that? BTW: The Ku Klux Klan is the org. of the Democrat party, check your history books. The Grand Kleagel of the Klan was the democrat Senator Robert Byrd who died in office a couple of years back. So watch where you point yr finger.
It says a lot that none of the candidates can muster over 30% of the country's Repubs. When you look closely at who they're playing to, it's downright scary. Fundamentalist bible bigots, gun nuts and rednecks. In the 1930's my Dad (3rd generation American) faced "No Irish Need Apply." A 2012 resurgence of Ku Kluxism promoted by "lace curtain Irish" anyone?
Remember this -While Iran was threatening us ,our current dufus was playing golf.Reagan wasn't afraid to lob missiles at Ka Daffy Duck
Anything but Barry Sotero.
Please stop the drama already. Barring any major screwup or scandal, Romney will be the next POTUS. He will win an easy victory over Obama in a margin similar to the one in the Clinton-Dole 1996 election.
Republicans will have to decide which of these candidates is the least egregious. Get out the popcorn.
Exciting? It's an unprecedented disaster! It's a mess. Talk about trying to make lemonade out of lemons.
 




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